If you’ve been to the grocery store lately, you might’ve already noticed that a dollar seems to be stretching a lot less further than a few months ago. In fact, the Consumer Price Index is up 2.9% since last month, it’s fastest growth since 2012.
So, what’s behind this sudden rapid growth of inflation? There are several answers for this. Overall, coming out of the recession, supply and demand is changing the way we consume things. Once stagnant sales are again in overdrive, propelled forward by recent tax cuts and an increase in employment.
Income has risen as well, but it’s not enough to overcome this new bout of inflation. It doesn’t matter if people have more of their own money if everything starts getting more expensive, essentially negating potential budget increases.
The main reason for the inflation hike is the price of oil. Since 2015, we’ve been enjoying a brief reprieve from high oil costs that threatened to break almost $4 per gallon. Oil prices that were once $30/barrel are now up to $70/barrel as OPEC can’t seem to make up its mind about drilling to keep up with demand.
When the price of gas goes up, so does everything else. Gas is used in nearly every industry, especially for shipping, so those costs are usually handed down to the consumer.
The demand for housing has skyrocketed as well. It’s not just places like Seattle and New York seeing growth in the markets, but also a lot of the smaller rural towns as well. When there’s higher demand, it can cause prices to inflate, forcing people to pay more each month.
Interest rates tend to shoot higher as well. The rates are lowered when the economy isn’t doing so well to help people get back on their feet, but when unemployment is down and wages are up, the government feels confident enough to hike the rates.
And then, there are the tariffs. It’s not just the tariffs on steel, that have made things like laundry equipment and vehicles 13% more expensive, but the retaliatory tariffs on U.S. agriculture that is sure to impact the price of food.
The price of eggs is up 14%. Gardening and lawn care is up 7.6%.
It’s looking to be an expensive summer across the country. We can only hope that gas prices get relieved, which will help cut some of this inflation going into the holiday seasons. A good indicator will be how well the Back-to-School shopping season does as it begins to kick off going into August.
