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Trump Severely Escalates Trade War with China

Written by adminJune 15, 2018

Another chapter of this story has been written, as President Donald Trump announced on Friday that the U.S. will indeed impose more tariffs on China. Specifically, a 25% tariff on a variety of Chinese exports number over 1,100 products totaling around $50 billion.

China immediately said they would retaliate with tariffs of their own before accusing the U.S. of starting a trade war.

The justification from the Trump administration? They had it coming. These tariffs are designed to work as a punishment on China for their espionage against us, stealing trade secrets and technology.

“(Trade) has been very unfair, for a very long time. This situation is no longer sustainable,” Trump said later in a statement.

This decision has been in the works for several weeks now, as we previously reported that Trump was looking into different tariffs against China. This came after both sides seemed to come to a deal that had China buying billions in U.S. agriculture. Neither side is looking to back down.

China already has a list of products they claimed to impose tariff’s on if Trump went through with his threat, including transportation and agriculture. They also said they would immediately cancel any recent trade deals made.

“In this day and age, launching a trade war is not in the interest of the world. We call on all countries to act together to firmly stop such an outdated and backward move, and to firmly safeguard the common interest of all mankind,” said China’s Commerce Ministry.

All of this comes not even a week removed from the G7 Summit held in Canada. After fighting with our closest allies over trade, Trump seemed to have angered everyone, including the entirety of the European Union.

Every country has vowed retaliation.

These particular tariffs are set to hit in two waves. The first will come in July and will cover about $34 billion worth of products. The second will come later, so it would seem to be undecided just yet.

Perhaps the time given before these tariffs take hold is a good sign that Trump is holding out hope that a new trade deal will be signed for the betterment of both countries.

Trump has touted unfair trade practices against China and the rest of the world during his campaign. He promised he would put America back on top of trade dominance, hoping it would give a boost to U.S. industries.

“We have a tremendous intellectual property theft problem. It’s going to make us a much stronger, much richer nation,” Trump said in March when he first brought up imposing tariffs this year.

As a citizen, it can be difficult to see how taxing foreign goods will make us a stronger country. This tit-for-tat retaliation will end up forcing the world’s top economic powers to engage in a trade war that threatens to not only hurt jobs, but the extra costs will translate down to the consumer, making products we use every day much more expensive.

Update: As I wrote up this article, China announced their own 25% tariff on about 695 U.S. goods worth near $50, which will hit on July 6^th.

Written by adminJune 12, 2018

Politics

America First. It’s a bold idea that helped win the White House.

During his campaign, President Trump promised Americans that he would fix the trade deficit between countries. It was vastly unfair, in the minds of Trump and the millions who voted for him, that other countries got billions more in goods than we received.

Not only that, the U.S. military was footing the bill for defense, aid, and a lot of other things other countries just don’t seem to want to pay for. To millions of struggling Americans, riddled with doubt, debt, and fear over their futures, the ‘America First’ campaign was a breath of fresh air that could bring our economy back to dominance.

Just ask the people of Michigan who lost thousands upon thousands of factory jobs as a result of their main employers deciding to pull up stakes and head to Mexico. Other states, like West Virginia and Pennsylvania, have a proud history of rolling up their sleeves and providing as the backbone of our country during a crucial time of unprecedented growth. Then came the cheaper steel.

Look at the blue wall that used to have a lock on democratic votes. This year, they all went red, and it was because of Candidate Trump’s message. He promised to get jobs back. He guaranteed he would revive near-dead industry. His bold proclamations demanded justice for decades of unfair trade practices that cost the U.S. billions.

How is that going too fly in an increasingly globalised world? Well, judging by this past weekend’s G7 summit, not very well. While many feel thankful that Trump stood up our country, there are plenty opponents who felt Trump embarrassed the United States.

Regardless of whatever side you’re on, these tariffs can have a real impact on us, the citizens.

Sure, by making Chinese steel more expensive, the U.S. steel industry is roaring back to life. Jobs are flooding back to places where the industry seemed nearly dead. That’s a major positive, but consider how it will negatively impact every company who uses steel. If it’s more expensive for the manufacturer, then that cost will transfer to the consumer.

President Trump has picked economic fights with China, Mexico, Canada, and 28 countries within the European Union. Each one promises retaliatory tariffs if the U.S. goes through with tariffs of his own. This will trickle down to thousands of U.S. and foreign companies, challenging economic efficiency and threaten jobs.

The Council on Foreign Relations came out with a report that stated Trump’s tariffs on steel and aluminum will create some jobs within those industries, but it risks killing 40,000 jobs within the auto industry simply due to the higher cost of making cars. If cars are more expensive to buy, then less people will buy them.

If Trump slaps a 25% levy on cars imported from China, which is his latest threat, it could end up cutting production by 1.5% and kill 295,000 jobs. If the other nations follow through with retaliatory tariffs of their own, it could slow production by as much as 4% and over 600,000 jobs would disappear. These aren’t the type of job losses that would make Trump look good.

Trump’s threats of a trade war have gotten China to back down and come to the table to reach a new trade agreement. Perhaps that’s the goal here. All he has to do is apply a bit of pressure to other countries to get what he wants. No one wants to a trade war with the largest economy in the world.

The problem is not knowing how far Trump will take this.

Written by adminJune 4, 2018

Politics

Just when we thought we had a happy ending to this story regarding China and a potential trade war, both sides seemed to have hardened their positions and waiting for the other side to move.

President Trump has continued his talk of tariffs, which is really angering a lot of our allies, who all threaten to retaliate with tariffs and taxes of their own.

To ease tensions and prevent a trade war, China agreed to purchase billions of dollars of American products, including agriculture, and lower the trade deficit between the two countries. But, as of right now, it would appear Trump is not happy with the deal. He’s still threatening the Chinese with a tax on billions of dollars of imports from China.

“Both sides appear to have hardened their negotiating stances and are waiting for the other side to blink. Despite the potential negative repercussions for both economies, the risk of a full-blown China-U.S. trade war, with tariffs and other trade sanctions being imposed by both sides, has risen significantly,” said Cornell professor Eswar Prasad.

Is President Trump really willing hurt our relationship with a prominent ally in China, who has the second largest economy in the world? The answer appears to be yes. He seems more than willing to wreck whatever relationship is necessary to keep American industry at the forefront and recover some of the billions of dollars lost in unfair deals.

Peter Navarro, who is the director of the White House National Trade Council, confirmed as much on Fox News when he stated China hasn’t been that good of a friend to us.

They’ve been aggressive in the South China Sea, threatened to steal intellectual property, went behind our backs to supply North Korea with goods after committing, in public, to join in the sanctions, and according to the president, has raked us over the coals in regard to trade for many decades.

“That’s a relationship with China that structurally has to change. We would love to have a peaceful, friendly relationship with China. But we’re also standing firm that the president is the leader on this,” said Navarro on “Sunday Morning Futures.”

Trump is still considering more tariffs on $50 billion worth of China’s exports and another $100 billion they would consider taxing to make up for the massive deficit. If this goes through, China threatens taxes and tariffs of their own and to cancel any of the new trade deals that have been hammered out.

It appears to be a tit for tat stare down between the two world’s economic superpowers. No one knows if Trump is serious about imposing tariffs or is just using the tactic for positioning. So far, he has been able to successfully get many countries to come to the table willing to renegotiate deals just to stay in the good graces of the U.S.

President Trump has long believed that other countries have taken advantage of American industry and reap far more benefits from trade than we get in return. It was one of many economic promises he made during the campaign.

Tariffs and a trade war would be bad for the world’s economy and for consumers, who would be required to pay more for tariffed items to cover the increased cost.

We’ll continue to cover this story as it develops.

Written by adminMay 31, 2018

Credit & Debt Settlement

We’ve been doing our best to keep track of the tariff situation, as we know it will mostly impact the consumers of products than it will any one country.

After the U.S. and China seemed to cool down talk of a trade war, Trump isn’t backing down asserting his desire to improve the balance of trade he says has been unfair for so long. While he was able to successfully negotiate with China, the same can’t be said for the EU.

Last Thursday, Trump’s team and European officials made one last attempt to negotiate a deal in Paris, but it isn’t looking promising, potentially damaging trade relationships with European countries and inflaming tensions with our allies.

According to France’s finance minister Bruno Le Maire: “Global trade is not a gunfight at the OK Corral. It’s not about who attacks whom, and then wait and see who is still standing at the end.”

You can tell Europe is frustrated with the prospect of tariffs set to take place on aluminum and steel before the end of this week. It doesn’t appear a new deal will be struck beforehand, but the determination will be whether Europe thinks Trump will actually go forward with his plans.

He wants to impose tariffs of 25% for steel and 10% on aluminum in an attempt to force companies that use cheaper, foreign steel and aluminum to buy from the U.S. instead. So far, President Trump has only focused on Asia, giving our allies a reprieve, which expires at the end of the week.

The fear of everyone else not named Donald Trump is that a retaliatory trade war with Europe is the last thing the global economy needs, especially now when things have been on the upswing for the most part.

If the tariff goes through, and a new deal can’t be made, it’s expected the Europe will impose tariffs of their own. Peanut butter, orange juice, and other U.S.-made products are on the list the EU has threatened will receive tariffs if Trump goes through with it.

“This will only lead to the victory of those who want less growth, those who don’t think we can develop our economies across the world. We think on the contrary that global trade must have rules in a context of multilateralism. We are ready to rebuild this multilateralism with our American friends,” said Le Maire

Trump hopes that tariffs will help spur American economic growth and has rallied against unfair trade deficits since he started campaigning. But French President Emmanuel Macron has a different idea.

“Unilateral responses and threats over trade war will solve nothing of the serious imbalances in world trade. Nothing. These solutions might bring symbolic satisfaction in the short term. … One can think about making voters happy by saying, ‘I have a victory, I’ll change the rules, you’ll see.’”

His belief is tariffs won’t help. It might bring a short boost in economic success, but due to the higher prices and retaliatory tariffs, eventually someone is going to lose their job, leading ultimately to higher unemployment.

Written by adminMay 23, 2018

Saving

We’ve extensively covered all the news going down between China and the U.S. A trade war between the two economic superpowers is not a good idea for anyone. China knows that, as does the United States.

President Trump, once again, seemed to apply just enough pressure to get the outcome he desired. His first victory came over North Korea, who agreed to end the Korean War and step across the DMZ at the behest of Trump’s critics who warned his tactics would lead to a nuclear war.

Now, China also appears to be bowing to pressure from President Trump, agreeing not only to end threats of a trade war, but also to purchase “massive amounts” of agricultural products from U.S. farms.

China also agreed to sit down and create a new deal promising to address the massive trade deficit between them and the U.S., a problem President Trump has railed against since his campaign.

According to U.S. Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin, this increase in agricultural products should total an additional 40%, which is amazing news for farmers who were worried a trade war would severely hurt their income.

Stocks and Oil Prices

When news first broke that China and the U.S. were soon to be embroiled in a fight, it frightened a lot of investors. Stocks fell sharply after months of historic growth. Now that news of the trade war being behind them and new deals are in place, stocks rose early Monday morning, as did the price of oil.

For the first time since 2014, the price of oil hit the $80 per barrel mark.

OPEC and Russia agreed to cut supply, as well as promised economic sanctions on major oil producer Iran that has many experts believing we’ll see oil prices cross the $100 mark this summer, but now that the trade war talk is cooling, moods are shifting. Some of the pressure on the market is now going away.

“Both sides plan to work on implementing agriculture and energy purchases and to continue to negotiate on manufacturing and service trade, bilateral investment and intellectual property protection in coming months,” said U.S. bank Morgan Stanley.

Now that the U.S. and China are on the same page economically, it can only mean good things for both countries. Trump certainly has a way with getting things done, even if his methods make everyone else nervous.

Written by adminMay 14, 2018

Saving

We all know how fickle gas prices are. I used to joke every time they rose that someone must’ve hiccupped in the Middle East.

When Trump decided this past Tuesday that it was time to end the Iran nuclear deal, we as Americans either supported or opposed it based upon our knowledge of the situation and political affiliations, but we didn’t think about the other ramifications this might play out – and one that could severely hit our pocketbooks.

Now, the important thing to know is this: this U.S. gets no direct gas import from Iran, but many of our allies do. These are the same allies who have blasted Trump in the past several days for his decision to cut the nuclear deal, probably more out of personal interest.

One country who holds a lot of cards in this situation is China. 1/3 of all of Iran’s gas output is guzzled by China, and where China falls in this whole situation will play a major role in future fuel prices.

In fact, if you haven’t noticed yet, the prices have already surged up merely on rumor of Trump’s well-guessed decision to cut ties with Iran. While it doesn’t directly tie in with where America gets its fuel, any drop in the global supply will ultimately ratchet up the prices.

With China being Iran’s number one customer, this doesn’t bode well for the relationship of the two countries who are already deadlocked in an impending trade war. The situation will become grave indeed if the Trump administration decides to impose sanctions on countries who continue to help Iran.

Our European allies, who also seem quite frustrated with Trump’s decision, also seem less likely to play along. But even if they do, undoubtedly to keep Trump happy, sanctions on Iran won’t be as impactful if the U.S. can’t get China on board.

The last time Iran was under sanctions before the nuclear deal was created by the Obama administration, Iran just churned out more oil to beat any economic hit they might’ve taken.

China went from buying 420,000 barrels per day to around 481,000 barrels. Just before the nuke deal was about to expire, they dramatically increased their imports to around 700,000 barrels per day earlier this year in expectation of the deal to fall through.

Recently, OPEC and Russia made a deal to cut oil supply, along with Venezuela and Saudi Arabia. The uptick in the U.S. economy means the demand for oil is back on, and now increased volatility in the Middle East may just create the perfect storm for another hot summer with higher gas prices.

Bank of America, along with other experts, are already predicting a return to $100 barrels of oil this summer, which will do nothing but put increased pressure on nearly every industry that is still recovering from the decade-long recession.

Written by adminMay 9, 2018

Saving

One of President Trump’s big promises on the campaign trail was to reform the prescription drug industry. For most Americans, the cost of lifesaving prescription drugs is way too high.

We already know that these companies value profit over lives. All we have to do is look at the recent case of EpiPen, who raised the price of their pen to unfathomable levels.

The cost of epinephrine per box: $1
What EpiPen rose the price to: $699

Why did they do this? The answer is simple: profit. Despite the protests and the anger this caused, the manufacturers defended their position. They proved they didn’t care about the numerous people who depend on this product to save their lives.

This is just one example. It was such a huge issue that Trump vowed to lower the cost of prescription drugs. Why Americans wish he had tackled this problem sooner in his administration, it was finally announced that he will release his strategy this week.

Alex Azar, Trump’s Secretary of Health and Human Services, said that the president’s approach will be to take a ‘tough stance’ on drug makers. This declaration alone led to the stock of these major companies to fall.

According to Aetna, one of the country’s largest insurance providers, the cost of prescription drugs rose in price nearly 25% over the last four years, with the prices already been too high to begin with. This is why Trump made the cost of drugs an important issue during his campaign.

Here are some of the issues expected to be brought up in the coming days:

Price Rebates

When you look at the dealings between drug makers and insurance companies, you’ll start to see how they prop each other up. Drug companies will give large discounts to insurance companies, but many wonder if those same discounts are passed down to the consumer.

In most cases, they’re not. Trump’s plan hopes to change that by ensuring more of the discounts is given to the people, especially those on Medicare.

Promoting Increased Competition

President Trump continues to strongly believe that increased competition between drug companies will force them to lower the cost of drugs to stay competitive.

Once a new drug is released by a major manufacturer, generic drugs aren’t far behind, so the Trump team hopes to allow for faster review of generic drugs to get them into the market quicker.

For example, if a competitor to EpiPen kept the price at $1, then consumers have options and EpiPen is less likely to obscenely raise their prices.

They also plan to identify more drugs as over-the-counter medicines to make them easier to obtain without having to get a doctor’s prescription, saving consumers times and money.

These are just a few of the ways Trump plans to tackle the drug industry. We look forward to seeing what the rest of his ideas are in making prescription drugs cost effective for everyday Americans.

Written by adminApril 30, 2018

Saving

After President Donald Trump announced he would place tariffs on steel and aluminum to spur on growth in the American markets, several countries freaked out and promised to retaliate with tariffs of their own.

Wall Street reacted accordingly as stocks dropped over 700 points in a single day to the news that the U.S. may soon be embroiled in a trade war.

The main concern has to do with the world’s two largest economies battling it out for supremacy, which would almost certainly leave other countries destabilized and fighting for air.

While the idea of a trade war is unsettling, there’s a chance that Trump isn’t too serious about keeping tariffs up for long. Instead, he might be pushing for better negotiations on a trade deal he’s touted since the campaign trail.

It’s a tactic that has proven to work so far.

All one has to do is look at the North Korea situation. Trump’s aggressive tone had many fearing that WW3 was about to break out any moment, but instead, it brought both sides to the negotiating table. For the first time in over 60 years, the Korean War has officially ended.

In an effort to avoid a trade war with China, a war the U.S. can’t afford to have as its economy recovers from a decade-long recession, Trump has sent a team of experts to Beijing with the goal of leaving with a compromise deal that helps both sides.

Trump tweeted last week that he believes a deal will get done, but some aren’t as optimistic. His team needs to be united on the tenants of the deal to make negotiations simpler, but those he did send don’t seem to be likeminded about what needs to get done. It consists of both free trade advocates as well as trade hawks…two sides who rarely agree on anything.

Chris Krueger, the managing director of the Cowen Washington Research Group, isn’t optimistic about the deal.

“This sets up a bizarre situation where the US team may spend most of the talks negotiating among themselves. It’s hard to picture more unique Trump officials.”

Trump himself believes sending a team with diverse ideas is a great thing, but one is left to wonder, with a recovering economy, if now is not the time to leave it to chance. This is the best chance we have at preventing a trade war, so sending a team that isn’t in agreement won’t be likely to solve the problem.

At the end of the day, a trade war can send the American economy back into a recession and destroy the massive positive movement we’ve seen under the Trump administration so far.

Hopefully the president’s aggressive tactics don’t lead us down that road.

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